Rio Branco SP vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
GRE
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 1
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
AUD
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUD
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 3
ATL
53%
22%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |