Ribera vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TYD
1 - 0
RIV
57%
21%
22%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
XIN
26%
23%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
RIV
67%
17%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 4
NIE
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 0
RIV
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 3
DES
17%
19%
65%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LTA
3 - 0
PRO
74%
16%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 0
TOM
23%
22%
56%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
5 - 0
PRO
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 3
CHO
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |