Pernambucano 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Retro FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
RFC
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
RFC
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEC
0 - 4
RFC
8%
15%
77%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 2
RFC
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
RFC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIV
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |