Resende vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
FLA
5%
15%
81%
|
46 | 89 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 0
RES
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
5 - 0
RES
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
FER
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
FER
2 - 2
ABC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 1
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |