Reno 1868 vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
REN
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
REN
3 - 3
OKC
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 1
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
REN
2 - 1
AUB
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NMU
5 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RGV
0 - 0
NMU
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 2
NMU
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 2
NMU
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NMU
2 - 1
TUL
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |