Reggina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 1
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
REG
0 - 1
SIC
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 0
REG
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
REG
3 - 0
CAT
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
REG
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
SIR
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
REN
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 4
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |