Supercopa Final
Global 3-2
Real Zaragoza vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
28%
26%
45%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 1
ZAR
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ZAR
4 - 4
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
VCF
0 - 1
ALB
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
VCF
27%
28%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
31%
28%
41%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
VCF
1 - 0
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |