Real Zaragoza vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 0
ZAR
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 1
ZAR
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NUM
0 - 2
ZAR
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAR
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 3
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
WEH
3 - 2
MAL
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
M05
2 - 0
MAL
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |