Segunda Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Real Zaragoza vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 2
ZAR
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 2
UDL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
VAD
1 - 3
ZAR
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MIR
62%
24%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MLL
0 - 1
GIR
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAD
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 3
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |