Real Madrid vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
4 - 1
GET
84%
11%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 0
RMA
4%
13%
83%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EIB
0 - 2
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 4
RMA
13%
19%
67%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 4
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
MFF
3 - 1
MFK
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MFF
0 - 5
PSG
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GOT
0 - 5
MFF
4%
9%
87%
|
80 | 23 | 57 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
SHA
4 - 0
MFF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MFF
0 - 2
NOR
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |