Champions League Last 16
Global 6-2
Real Madrid vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BET
0 - 0
RMA
19%
22%
58%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
53%
23%
25%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
67%
20%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 5
RMA
43%
24%
33%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 0
LIV
8%
16%
77%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIV
7 - 0
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
WOL
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CRY
0 - 0
LIV
11%
18%
72%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 5
RMA
43%
24%
33%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | -1 |