Copa del Rey Final
Global 2-1
Real Madrid vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
0 - 1
RMA
12%
19%
69%
|
83 | 14 | 69 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
2 - 2
RMA
12%
20%
69%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
3 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
69%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1917 |
RMA
4 - 1
FEB
94%
5%
2%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1917 |
SEV
0 - 4
RMA
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1917 |
RVS
1 - 2
ARE
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1917 |
ARE
2 - 1
RVS
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1917 |
ARE
7 - 0
SPO
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 1917 |
SPO
0 - 1
ARE
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | +1 |