CONCACAF League Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-2
Real Estelí vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
REA
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 3
EST
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
DIR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
VEN
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 12 | 56 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
MET
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
SAN
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | -1 |