Real Estelí vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 5
EST
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
CDS
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
MAN
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 2
MFC
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
JAP
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |