Real Estelí vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
EST
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 0
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |