CONCACAF Champions Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Real Estelí vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 0
EST
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 2
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 4
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
MON
58%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 0
AME
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
JUA
0 - 2
AME
15%
22%
63%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
QRO
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TIJ
0 - 2
AME
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |