Real España vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
6º
3º
25
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
RSO
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
RES
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
VAN
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
JAG
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
4 - 2
HNP
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 1
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |