Real Cartagena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 2
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 0
QUI
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |