Real Avilés Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
4 - 2
TOR
68%
19%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
COV
0 - 1
AVI
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
AVI
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
COV
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 1
SPO
12%
22%
66%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
COV
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
AVI
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
COV
1 - 2
CAU
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ROB
2 - 0
CAU
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 1
CAU
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |