Real Avilés Industrial vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 0
GIM
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
AVI
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 1
COX
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 1
AVI
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 0
AVI
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
URS
1 - 1
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALC
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TRJ
1 - 1
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
URS
37%
29%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
60%
25%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |