Reading vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 0
REA
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
WIG
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
REA
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 2
LEE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NTT
2 - 1
BOU
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NTT
4 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BPO
4 - 4
NTT
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NTT
3 - 0
WIG
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BHA
2 - 3
NTT
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |