Reading vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
WYC
1 - 1
REA
32%
25%
44%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HUL
2 - 1
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
REA
1 - 3
SHW
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
REA
3 - 4
CHL
12%
22%
66%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
REA
4 - 2
POS
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUT
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
WIG
3 - 2
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAD
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
CAR
7%
12%
81%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |