Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-2
Real Ariquemes vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
RDA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
4 - 1
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
RDA
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 1
LON
2%
8%
90%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BRO
0 - 1
RDA
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
RDA
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SDS
0 - 2
INT
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
SDS
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SDS
1 - 1
GUR
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GUR
0 - 4
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |