Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
79.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
RAY
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAD
6 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 2
RMA
6%
14%
80%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 3
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEL
91%
7%
2%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 5
FCB
7%
16%
78%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
53%
21%
26%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
SLB
0 - 2
FCB
14%
19%
67%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 3
FCB
14%
20%
67%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |