Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-4
Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 2
RSO
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RMA
10 - 2
RAY
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
GET
3 - 1
RAY
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RAY
1 - 2
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
LEV
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATM
25%
29%
46%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 0
REU
84%
13%
3%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |