Rayo Vallecano vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
HOS
0 - 0
RAY
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
RAY
0 - 1
XER
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
LIN
0 - 2
RAY
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
RAY
2 - 0
PBL
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
BAL
1 - 0
RAY
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 1
TAL
56%
27%
18%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
LEV
3 - 0
ALC
56%
27%
18%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
50%
29%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
70%
20%
11%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 2
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |