Raufoss IL vs Åsane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
16º
6º
27
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
82% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
RAU
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ELP
1 - 4
RAU
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 2
RAU
28%
22%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAU
0 - 1
BRY
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
RAU
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Åsane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
EID
2 - 1
ASA
38%
22%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 2
STB
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
BJA
0 - 3
ASA
15%
18%
66%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAN
2 - 2
ASA
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 1
SOG
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |