Sremska Mitrovica vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
71.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sremska Mitrovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RAD
2 - 2
RSM
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 1
LOZ
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MAV
0 - 0
RSM
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VRS
2 - 1
RSM
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
INI
0 - 1
RSM
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CRV
5 - 1
NPA
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BAC
1 - 2
CRV
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
CRV
1 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JAV
0 - 2
CRV
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CRV
3 - 0
ČUK
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |