Racing vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
RAC
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
MIR
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
REC
1 - 0
RAC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
HUE
61%
23%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
XER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
REC
38%
28%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
HUE
2 - 0
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |