Primera RFEF Champions Playoff Final
Global 2-3
Racing Ferrol vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SDA
3 - 0
RCF
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RCF
2 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
RCF
19%
28%
54%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RCF
2 - 1
CDB
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
RCF
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SDA
3 - 0
RCF
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
SDA
12%
24%
65%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SDA
1 - 1
GIM
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SDL
1 - 1
SDA
22%
28%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SDA
2 - 1
MUR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |