Quilmes vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 1
QUI
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 4
SMA
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 0
RSA
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 0
QUI
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
DAL
0 - 0
DEF
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 0
DAL
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 2
BRO
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAL
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DAL
3 - 0
RIE
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |