Quilmes vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
QUI
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ATT
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 0
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
HUR
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
QUI
32%
30%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 2
IRV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
PAT
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 3
BUC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
PAT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
GIM
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |