Quilmes vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
18%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 2
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 0
CSE
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RIE
0 - 1
QUI
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
BUC
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 2
MOR
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALM
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALB
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |