Queen of the South vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
QOS
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
QOS
3 - 0
GRE
88%
9%
3%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
QOS
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
QOS
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
QOS
4 - 1
KHE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 2
MHE
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
MHE
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AIR
4 - 0
MHE
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
LON
0 - 6
MHE
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HSC
0 - 1
MHE
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |