Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
QAR
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 0
MFK
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 0
SFK
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 1
QAR
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
OLI
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 0
TUR
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SUM
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKN
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
SUM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
SUM
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |