Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Qarabağ vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FCK
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 2
QAR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 2
QAR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
TUR
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 4
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
KOM
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 2
QAR
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALU
4 - 5
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
OLI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |