Europa League Last 16
Global 4-5
Qarabağ vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
78%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 4
QAR
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 4
QAR
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 0
SUM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 3
SPB
14%
18%
67%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 4
QAR
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
LEV
12%
20%
68%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
M05
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 2
LEV
12%
20%
69%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
STU
68%
18%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | +1 |