Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
PUM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 0
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
PUM
1 - 0
UAP
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
JUA
2 - 0
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |