Pumas UNAM vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 2
TIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
PUM
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 1
PUM
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATS
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 2
ATL
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 1
MER
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
PUM
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
UDG
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
4 - 0
MER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MER
3 - 0
LOB
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |