Puebla vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
PUM
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
VER
1 - 0
PUE
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
PUE
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
CIM
1 - 1
PUE
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PUE
0 - 1
ATS
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CIM
1 - 2
UDG
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CIM
0 - 1
UAP
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
CIM
1 - 1
PUE
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
CIM
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
CIM
2 - 1
DOR
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |