Progress / AFA Olaine vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
50.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
RIG
3 - 2
PRA
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PRA
0 - 9
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
RIG
5 - 0
PRA
49%
26%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PRA
4 - 5
SAL
85%
12%
4%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TUK
3 - 3
PRA
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
ALB
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DRS
0 - 3
GRO
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 1
SAL
86%
10%
5%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GRO
6 - 0
TUK
62%
19%
18%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JGV
4 - 0
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |