Progresista vs Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DES
1 - 1
PRO
53%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 2
LTA
32%
23%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 2
PRO
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 3
VIL
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
TYD
33%
23%
45%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
XIN
3 - 1
RIV
58%
20%
22%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
CAL
32%
22%
46%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NIE
2 - 1
RIV
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 4
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |