Princesa Solimões vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
75.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
PRI
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
PRI
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
PRI
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
PRI
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
ITU
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |