Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-4
Princesa Solimões vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
65.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 0
AGU
23%
27%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 3
PRI
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 1
TDC
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 2
FER
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
COR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TOC
1 - 1
FER
20%
26%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 1
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |