Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Portuguesa Santista vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 3
RIO
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
5 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |