Cup Paulista Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Portuguesa Santista vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
28%
25%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
POR
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
JUV
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
XVD
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
XVD
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 0
OES
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |