Portuguesa Santista vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 2
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
BER
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |