Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Portuguesa Santista vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
XVD
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 1
TAU
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
5 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |