Rio Cup Last 16
Global 3-2
Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
POR
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
POR
24%
31%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
POR
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADC
61%
20%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
OLA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |