Portuguesa RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
POR
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
AUD
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
VOL
24%
24%
53%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
7 - 1
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
POR
78%
16%
7%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
BOT
8%
19%
73%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |